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PRESS RELEASE

For Immediate Release - 12/18/2001

Media Contacts:

Paris

Christophe Dufraux
AXA
33.1.40.75.46.74

Emmanuelle Isnard
AXA
33.1.40.75.47.22

New York

Barbara Wilkoc
AXA Financial
212-314-3740

Investor Contacts:

Paris

Matthieu Andre
AXA
33.1.40.75.46.85

New York

Caroline Portel
AXA Financial
212-314-6182

AXA's 2001 Cash Earnings* Are Estimated To Be Approximately Euro 1.2 Billion After Taking Into Consideration Impacts Of WTC Attacks, Permanent Impairments Of Assets And Lower Investment Results

2002 Cash Earnings* Are Expected To Be Up Significantly Due To Improved Combined Ratio, Better Operating Efficiency And Return To More Stable Financial Markets

PARIS — AXA estimated today that, after assessing the consequences of the WTC attacks, the impact of potential permanent impairments on assets and difficult market conditions, it was forecasting 2001 cash earnings* to be approximately Euro 1.2 billion.

This announcement is based on data available as of the end of November. Actual 2001 financial statements will be released on March 14, 2002.

A conference call is scheduled today at 10:00 AM (Paris time). Please refer to the end of this press release for further details.

FORECAST FOR FULL YEAR 2001

The Group has been impacted by falling equity markets and market volatility throughout 2001, with significant deterioration in the immediate wake of September 11th, which led us at that time to be cautious on 2001 earnings visibility. Additionally, the Group has been impacted directly by the World Trade Center tragedy, as disclosed on September 21st, 2001.

*Cash earnings include the operating results on a New French GAAP basis but exclude one-off items and goodwill amortization (no one-off items are in 2001 forecast). Forecast assumes current market conditions will prevail at year-end.

  • World Trade Center loss :

AXA’s current estimate of the WTC loss exposure included in the Group’s 2001 forecast stands at $ 0.6 billion pre-tax (equivalent to $ 0.4 billion after tax).

  • Financial markets :

Following the WTC attacks, there has been a material re-pricing of the financial markets which led to (i) an increase in the average risk premium built into equity prices and (ii) a widening of corporate bond’s spreads. In light of this prolonged market downturn, the Group has just completed a review of its securities portfolio (equities and bonds) to assess long-term impairment of such assets following US GAAP. This review could result, at year-end 2001, in reserves of approximately a net Euro 0.7 billion for long-term impairment. Provisions for long-term impairment have no impact on the Net Asset Value of the AXA Group.

Consequently, the contribution of net capital gains to cash earnings for the second half of the year is forecast to be a negative Euro 0.4 billion, including the effect of provisions for long-term impairment of assets.

Adjusted for forecast 2001 impairment, unrealized capital gains attributable to shareholders are estimated to be approximately Euro 4.8 billion as of the end of November vs. Euro 4.3 billion as of June 2001. On the same basis, the level of gross unrealized capital gains as of the end of November 2001 is approximately Euro 12.7 billion compared to the June 2001 reported level of Euro 11.4 billion.

The fall in equity markets and slowing global economies have negatively affected the Group’s average level of Assets under Management (both unit-linked and assets managed for third parties) and the growth in the Group’s Life & Savings premiums that was originally anticipated. Such combination has resulted, in spite of strong positive cash flows across our Life & Savings and Asset Management operations, in a cash earnings shortfall estimated to be approximately Euro 0.2 billion. First nine month 2001 average AUM for Alliance Capital and AXA Investment Managers were Euro 760 billion, slightly lower than 2000 average despite strong positive inflows, but higher than the AUM level as of October 31, 2001.

  • Combined ratio for Property & Casualty operations :

The Group’s 2001 combined ratio is estimated to be approximately 112% versus 114% in 2000. Commercial lines’ technical results in Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands and the UK have a negative impact on the Group’s overall combined ratio. Steps have already been taken to address these deviations. On the positive side, operations in other countries should be delivering better combined ratios and underline the Group’s commitment to sound technical results.

Excluding net capital gains and WTC net impact, Group cash earnings are estimated to be Euro 1.3 billion in 2001 compared to Euro 1.2 billion for 2000. On the same basis, 2001 cash EPS is estimated to be down approximately 2%.

Taking into account positive medium-term perspective, the Group anticipates maintaining its 2001 dividend per share at the same level as last year.

TRENDS FOR YEAR 2002

AXA’s strategy to achieve operating excellence and to develop a customer-centric, advice-driven organization remains the cornerstone of future growth and enhanced profitability.

1. Management believes that 2002 should be a recovery year and that the Group will benefit from:

  • Revenues growth in 2002:
  • Property & Casualty should benefit from tariff increases, partly offset by portfolio reduction.
  • Revenues in Life & Savings should recover from the low level experienced in 2001 as AXA's main operations are well positioned to benefit from the long-term growth trends driving these activities, in particular in the mass affluent savings markets.
  • International Insurance revenues should benefit from strong rate increases on reinsurance lines, offset by the Group’s withdrawal from certain types of corporate risks and by the effect of reinstatement premiums received in 2001 fourth quarter.
  • Asset Management activities should benefit from continued strong positive inflows offset by lower level of equity markets.
  • Various initiatives taken during the last 18 months are starting to pay off and management believes that after taking into consideration an increase in reinsurance cost, a significant improvement in our combined ratio for Property & Casualty operations is achievable in 2002. Our objective remains to reach 104% in 2003.
  • The Group maintains its objective to reduce its expense base by Euro 0.7 billion in 2002, without impeding its ability to develop its businesses. A vast portion of the expense reduction initiatives has already been identified.
  1. Assuming no further market weaknesses before year-end and that normal market conditions prevail during 2002, the Group’s target is to grow cash EPS, excluding WTC and net capital gains, by more than 20% in 2002.

Under normal market conditions, the Group believes that it should harvest, on a recurring basis, approximately 15 to 20% of its unrealized capital gains, which, given the structure of its investment portfolio, form an integral part of its earnings.

CONFERENCE CALL DETAILS

On Tuesday, December 18th, at 10:00 AM (Paris time), AXA Chairman of the Management Board Henri de Castries, Member of the Management Board and AXA Group CFO Gérard de La Martinière and AXA Executive Committee members Denis Duverne and Stan Tulin will lead a one-hour conference call to discuss 2001 forecast and 2002 trends.

Investors and media may access the call using the numbers listed below.

Live Call

International: + 44 (0) 208 240 8243 / + 44 (0) 208 240 8244 - Access code AXA

USA: + 1 303 224 6997 - Access code AXA

Replay - Available December 18th, 2001 through January 10th, 2002

International: + 44 (0) 208 288 4459 – Access code 656 392

USA: + 1 303 804 1855 – Access code 140 7033

About AXA

AXA Group is a worldwide leader in financial protection and wealth management. AXA's operations are diverse geographically, with major operations in Western Europe, North America and the Asia/Pacific area. AXA had Euro 950 billion in assets under management as of June 30, 2001 and reported revenues of approximately Euro 80 billion for the full year 2000 (Euro 56 billion for the first nine months of 2001). The AXA ordinary share is listed and trades under the symbol AXA on the Paris Stock Exchange. The AXA American Depositary Share is also listed on the NYSE under the ticker symbol AXA.

This press release is also available on AXA Group web site: www.axa.com

CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS CONCERNING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

Certain statements in this press release are forward-looking statements including, but not limited to, statements that are predications of or indicate future events, trends, plans or objectives. Undue reliance should not be placed on such statements because, by their nature, they are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and can be affected by other factors that could cause actual results and AXA’s plans and objectives to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward looking statements (or from past results). These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, the risk of future catastrophic events including possible future terrorist related incidents. Please refer to AXA's Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2000 for a description of certain important factors, risks and uncertainties that may affect AXA’s business. AXA undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements, whether to reflect new information, future events or circumstances or otherwise.


Copyright 1999, 2000, 2001 AXA Financial, Inc. All rights reserved.